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11 p.m. Update: Hurricane Warning For Long Island

Several Long Island communities under evacuation orders as mass transit begins to shut down at noon Saturday.

Brace for a stormy weekend. The National Hurricane Center issued a hurricane warning for Long Island and the Long Island Sound Friday.

As of 11 p.m. Hurricane Irene, a Category 2 storm packing winds up to 100 mph, is 140 miles south of Cape Lookout, N.C. The core of the storm is expected to reach the North Carolina coast overnight.

The hurricane warning extends from Little River Inlet, N.C. to Sagamore Beach, Mass. Long Island should start to see outer bands from the storm late Saturday.

The National Weather Service has also issued a coastal flood hazard with comunities along the Long Island Sound in a high impact zone. Most of Nassau and Queens are listed as high to extreme inland flood hazards.

Gov. Andrew Cuomo declared a state of emergency on Thursday. It started a cascade of emergency measures, including:

  • The MTA announced the Long Island Rail Road will suspend fare collection, effective immediately on all westbound trains on the Far Rockaway, Long Beach and Montauk/Babylon Branches to facilitate evacuation. Conductors will view tickets for monthly/weekly ticket holders, but will not collect a fare for those under the evacuation orders. Also, pets will be allowed to accompany evacuees on trains when leashed or in a container.
  • The MTA has also said it will start suspending service for buses, subways and trains beginning at noon Saturday.
  • Nassau County Executive Ed Mangano announced a mandatory evacuation order for all residents living south of Sunrise Highway, from the Queens line to Rockville Centre and south of Merrick Road, from Rockville Centre to the Nassau-Suffolk border. All those residing in these areas must evacuate by 5 p.m. Saturday.
  • North Hempstead Supervisor Jon Kaiman said low-lying areas and storm surge zones need to be evacuated, including parts of Manorhaven, Manhasset Isle, and residents that live along shore road along Manhasset Bay.
  • Brookhaven Town Supervisor Mark Lesko announced a mandatory evacuation effective 8 a.m. Saturday for those who reside in the town's South Shore flood zones, from Center Moriches to Patchogue.
  • Islip Town mandatory evacuation of low-lying areas south of Montauk Highway will begin at 8 a.m. Saturday. 
  • Fire Island mandatory evacuation began 3 p.m. Friday.
  • Asharoken Mayor Patricia Irving has urged residents to evacuate. 

The 48 hour outlook places the storm track squarely through Long Island, with much of the East Coast in the forecast cone. At the current estimate, Irene could make landfall on Long Island at some point Sunday.

According to NOAA models, Long Island faces up to an 70-percent probability of seeing tropical storm-force winds up to 74 mph. The model also shows the Island has a 20-percent chance of facing hurricane force winds.  

Clem August 27, 2011 at 09:40 pm
Marc, go back and do your homework.
You are sounding like the 23 year old unemployed kid that you are. No "State of Emergency" declared or undeclared gives anyone the power to infringe on anyone's rights. In America, the Constitution can't be "suspended". If you don't like that, move to Cuba. Your ignorance is showing!
Marc Rosen August 27, 2011 at 09:46 pm
Well, if you don't want to evacuate, then don't. Nobody's going to drag you out by force. However, if you don't leave, nobody will come to help you if there's an emergency. "Mandatory evacuation" means they're abandoning the area and won't help anyone.
Lloyd August 27, 2011 at 10:03 pm
I agree, Clem and Frank.
It should be an individuals choice whether he wants to evacuate or stay put to protect his home and family. But the local authorites are under no obligation to bail him out if he fails to follow their evac orders. So he's on his own. If you choose to leave, Marc, then that's fine for youm but you shouldn't order your neighbors to do the same. I left town because my gal/pal kept noodging me to move to higher ground and safety. She's afraid we;ll get flooded out here in L.B and lose our electric too. I know which side my bread is buttered, so I gave in to her.
Clem August 27, 2011 at 10:15 pm
Marc, even that assumption is false.
If a resident calls 911, he will get help, no matter where he is, no matter if he evacuated or didn't. Once again, do your homework and don't pontificate about things that you've only read in Newsday. The Bill of Rights isn't suspended, public services are not being rationed. Those of us who have earned what we have and pay for what we get have no problem exercising our rights. Many of us are much better experienced, educated and trained in protecting our properties than are the police and volunteers. One day, when you move out of Mom's basement and get a job and earn your own keep, you too will resent "experts" who try to take away your rights and earnings. Keep an open mind Marc. There's still plenty that an unemployed 23 year old can learn.
Eddie August 27, 2011 at 10:17 pm
Marc, what part of the Constitution says government can "suspend" your rights?
If what you are saying wasn't so dangerous, I'd call you an idiot.
Eddie August 27, 2011 at 10:18 pm
Lloyd, no man can argue with you. You kept your gal/pal happy.
You're a smart man.
violetta butler August 27, 2011 at 10:45 pm
Governor Christie said it in very clear words, no reason to argue stupidity. "Get out or stay at your own risk!
You will be rescued IF and When they can!" Enjoy your liberties!
Eddie August 27, 2011 at 11:08 pm
"People willing to trade their freedom for temporary security deserve neither and will lose both." - Ben Franklin
An tUasal Airgead August 27, 2011 at 11:32 pm
Considering the winds could knock you off of it, or the storm surge could wash it out from under you, everyone should get off their soapboxes and safely secure them until after the storm.
:-)
Marc Rosen August 28, 2011 at 12:06 am
First off, if I did live in a basement, I'd be securing it right now against flooding. Second, I'm not evacuating anywhere. I'm staying home because I'm NOT in an evacuation zone. Nothing's going to flood and I'm in no danger. However, this is not about violating anyone's rights. This is a matter of advising people that if they stay and need help, it might not be POSSIBLE to help them.
Marc Rosen August 28, 2011 at 12:09 am
That's why I'm calling for practicality over principle from the safety of my home on an incline at least 100 feet above sea level.
charnell briggs August 28, 2011 at 01:09 am
Does anyone know if long beach had a mandatory evacuation?????
Carisa Giardino (Editor) August 28, 2011 at 01:11 am
Hi Charnell, yes County Executive Ed Mangano ordered a mandatory evacuation. Everyone had to be out by 5 p.m. today.
Frank DiAnconio August 28, 2011 at 01:16 am
Unfortunately, at least I believe this to be true, inalienable rights, i.e. those granted from God, "life, liberty...." ARE being violated in Delaware, where the Governor has banned non-emergency vehicle driving.
Second, Clem, though I disagree with Rosen on basic principles of freedom, when the government decides to have "mandatory evacuations", there is a chance that the officials simply won't come after you. I don't necessarily care, it's pretty simple: if you live under the sea level, or whatnot, just get out, you probably know what's best for you, not some government, unlike what Rosen believes. Furthermore, the police, and though I'm not sure, other services, are not constitutionally required to "protect" us normals.
Frank DiAnconio August 28, 2011 at 01:19 am
Rosen, I love how you twist and turn the constitution however you see fit. Whatever, a lot of similar ideologues would sacrifice their liberty tomorrow for a few more government programs and services. Especially if it's on MoveOn.Org, or DailyKos, or if Paul Krugman says it.
Marc Rosen August 28, 2011 at 01:28 am
Actually, driving is a privilege granted by the DMV that can be revoked at any time, not a right of any kind. It's not a matter of government knowing best (they DON'T, which is why they're relying on weather reports to do what they can). It's a matter of the fact that if you live at or below sea level, you're gonna get flooded and nobody will be ABLE to send anyone out to rescue you or provide medical care. You can preach on your soapbox all you like, but I do hope you make sure that you're on higher ground and indoors when you do it.
Clem August 28, 2011 at 02:22 am
Another inaccurate statement from a pontificating unemployed 23 year old know-it-all. While issuing you a drivers' license is a privilege granted to you, the regulation of your freedom of movement in an automobile is a right. That right can't be infringed without causative action. In other words, you, the licensee must be guilty of some infraction to lose that right. Government can't simply repeal your right to drive nor limit that right without cause specific to your behavior.
Are you learning anything yet? After your previous remarks indicating zero knowledge of the Bill of Rights, we'd think you'd at least take a few minutes to look things up before blurting them here as fact.
Marc Rosen August 28, 2011 at 02:31 am
And clearly someone didn't pay attention in their defensive driving course. Driving, at any time, is considered a privilege. Privileges can be revoked at any time for any reason, and do NOT have constitutional protections. Please cite the article and section, with exact wording, that guarantee your right to use your car at any time regardless of danger.
Joe August 28, 2011 at 02:57 am
Marc, be careful. Clem is a seriously strange and unbalanced person who likes to post personal details about people who he disagrees with on Patch. He stalks them online to do this. Being that he's also racist and hates minorities, I think he's potentially dangerous. Best to ignore him, or contact management if you feel threatened in any way. His more wierd, stalky and creepy comments can be deleted upon request.
Carisa Giardino (Editor) August 28, 2011 at 03:05 am
Let's keep this thread focused on the issue at hand -- a hurricane. Personal attacks will not be tolerated. Thanks for your cooperation.
Marc Rosen August 28, 2011 at 03:14 am
Luckily for me, anything I consider "personal" is kept off the net.
Frank DiAnconio August 28, 2011 at 03:18 am
Clem, you're right, I believe the Delaware state governor is infringing on our founding document that one cannot be denied the right to life and liberty.
Lloyd August 28, 2011 at 04:42 am
C'Mon Joe. Clem isn't so bad. We've had our share of disagreements and he hasn't stalked or threatened me yet. I don't believe he's a racist or a hater. He just has some controversial opinions and sticks with them.
Clem August 28, 2011 at 10:10 am
Thanks Lloyd. Yes, just my opinions. Joe, who usually posts under a different name, champions some things with which I disagree. That disagreement is cause to call me names. His are the only opinions acceptable. When I see errors here, like the Constitution being suspended for hurricanes, I correct them. I feel a generation is being taught that their rights come from government.
Back to the storm -- Beach is just about gone with water washing all the way up the beach; sump pumps started about 4 AM. Electric still on in most of Long Beach, as I can see. Lots of wind but rain not to heavy. No serious street flooding. Wind 45. Cops checking ID at Long Beach Bridge, turning away non residents. I'm sure your stuff is fine here Lloyd.
Clem August 28, 2011 at 10:22 am
Jodi, you fall asleep yet?
At 6 AM, the Hurricane Center downgraded the winds to a 20% chance of over 74MPH, so we're looking at a tropical storm here with probably 65 MPH. We're seeing gusts up to that now in Long Beach. Unfortunately the storm surge was upgraded to 90% of 3 feet and 40% of 4 feet, so you gals on canals will probably see some flooding. Most modern bulkheads are a little below that. Here's the site for the National Hurricane Center. The nonsense on TV is all exaggerated hype: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index.shtml?#IRENE
Joe August 28, 2011 at 01:24 pm
Lloyd, you should check his comment history a bit more thoroughly. How did he know what sort of car you drive? Marc's age or employment status? He posted a picture of a property owner's home along with their address because he didn't like what they were doing with their LB property. This is stalking, it's illegal, and Clem is not just some controversial crackpot. Beware.
Marc Rosen August 28, 2011 at 01:38 pm
Actually, I made statements earlier in this comment section about both my age and employment status.
Joe August 28, 2011 at 01:56 pm
Marc, you might want to rethink doing that (posting personal details) in the future before Clem decides that being a condescending dunderhead to you isn't enough and posts a picture of your home here. Much of his more offensive material is deleted by monitors, but there's enough left to get a clear picture.
Clem August 28, 2011 at 02:39 pm
A I expected, this was a bust. Government run amok. Storm's over. Winds never exceeded 50.
No damage to boardwalk. Lifeguard shed floated north against boardwalk. Ocean water down some streets. Ocean made it up Laurelton to Park. Otherwise, power is on in most of Long Beach. One block outage by Granada Towers. Lots of flooded basements, I'm sure. Lots of new roof leaks. Government out of control.
Clem August 28, 2011 at 02:44 pm
The Toyota comment was a figure of speech, just a joke about "little Toyotas". Marc said he was 23 and unemployed, so I naturally picked on him. The slumlord who was destroying the neighborhood is public record. And you Joe, or Tom T, as you usually post, can't accept my opinion that your homosexual behavior is wrong and that man-boy relations should never be celebrated and legalized. So you say bad things about me. Now leave me alone. Talk about the weather.

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